Post by : Saif Nasser
The conflict in Yemen has taken another worrying turn after the Saudi-led coalition announced that Aidarous al-Zubaidi, a key southern separatist leader, arrived in Abu Dhabi under unclear circumstances. His sudden journey and absence from planned talks in Riyadh have raised serious questions about the future of peace efforts and the growing divisions among Yemen’s regional backers.
According to the coalition, al-Zubaidi, who leads the Southern Transitional Council (STC), traveled by boat to Somaliland before flying to Mogadishu in Somalia. From there, a plane reportedly flew on to a military airport in Abu Dhabi. The coalition claimed the aircraft was under the supervision of officers from the United Arab Emirates, though it did not confirm whether al-Zubaidi was still on board when it landed. These details have added to the confusion and mistrust surrounding the incident.
This development comes at a sensitive time for Yemen. The country has been at war for more than a decade, suffering from violence, hunger, and political chaos. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been key partners in a coalition that intervened in Yemen after the Iran-backed Houthi movement took control of the capital, Sanaa, in 2014. Their shared goal was to support Yemen’s internationally recognized government and push back the Houthis.
However, recent events show that unity within the coalition is weakening. The crisis in southern Yemen has created a visible rift between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the two most powerful Gulf states involved in the conflict. While Saudi Arabia continues to back the central government, the UAE has long supported the STC, a group that seeks independence or greater autonomy for southern Yemen.
The STC was formed in 2017 with strong backing from the UAE. Over time, it became a powerful force in the south and eventually joined the government coalition. Despite this, tensions remained. Last month, STC forces suddenly took control of large areas in southern Yemen. This shift changed the balance of power and led to direct disagreements between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
Al-Zubaidi’s failure to attend talks in Riyadh made the situation even more fragile. These talks were meant to calm rising tensions and prevent further fighting. When he did not appear, the coalition said his whereabouts were unknown, adding uncertainty to an already volatile situation. Soon after, the STC claimed that al-Zubaidi was in Aden, overseeing military and security operations. This statement did little to ease concerns.
The coalition also said the aircraft flying from Mogadishu turned off its identification system while crossing the Gulf of Oman, only turning it back on shortly before landing in Abu Dhabi. Such actions are often linked with military or sensitive operations, which has fueled speculation and mistrust. The coalition noted that the aircraft was similar to planes often used in conflict zones such as Libya, Ethiopia, and Somalia.
The UAE has not issued an immediate response to these claims, nor has the STC provided further clarification. This silence has allowed rumors and doubts to spread, making diplomacy even harder.
For Yemen, the bigger concern is what comes next. Continued disagreements between Saudi Arabia and the UAE could weaken efforts to stabilize the country. If regional powers pull in different directions, Yemen’s long-running war may drag on even longer. Ordinary Yemenis, who have already paid a heavy price through loss of life, hunger, and displacement, stand to suffer the most.
This episode highlights a hard truth about the Yemen conflict. It is not only a civil war but also a struggle shaped by regional interests and rivalries. Until these outside powers find common ground, peace will remain distant. Al-Zubaidi’s mysterious journey to Abu Dhabi may seem like a single event, but it reflects deeper cracks that threaten to widen unless urgent steps are taken toward dialogue and cooperation.
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