Post by : Saif Nasser
Asia’s manufacturing industry is facing a tough time again. In October, factory output across several major Asian countries fell sharply as demand from the United States weakened and new trade tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump began to affect exports.
Business reports released on Monday showed that the manufacturing growth in China slowed, while South Korea saw a clear fall in production. Factory owners in both countries said export orders had dropped because of the rising cost of selling goods to the U.S.
Although Trump’s visit to Asia last week brought some hope for better trade relations, most exporters remain cautious. Many are not expecting a big rise in orders soon.
China, the world’s second-largest economy, has been showing signs of slowing down for months. A government report released on Friday showed that China’s factory activity fell for the seventh month in a row. This means fewer factories are running at full capacity, and many are cutting back on production.
Economist Zichun Huang from Capital Economics said that China’s economy “lost some energy” in October. He explained that while manufacturing and construction both slowed, any improvement from the recent trade deal with the U.S. would be very small. “The main problems will continue,” he said.
During Trump’s visit to South Korea last week, he and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to delay some of the new tariffs for one year. However, experts believe this truce only offers short-term relief. The deeper trade and political issues between the two countries remain unresolved.
For China, the big question is whether its $19 trillion economy can still reach its 2025 growth target of around 5% without needing extra government help. September trade data showed that while China’s total exports increased, sales to the U.S. actually dropped 27% compared to last year. Much of the new growth came from other countries, not from American buyers.
South Korea also reached a trade deal with the U.S. last week. The agreement reduced some tariffs on Korean goods, which was seen as a small victory. However, many economists said it was more of a compromise than a breakthrough. The deal helps South Korea avoid bigger losses but does not give it a strong advantage in global trade.
While northeast Asia faced challenges, India’s manufacturing sector performed better. Indian factories saw stronger growth in October, supported by strong domestic demand. Even though India’s exports also declined, high local consumption helped keep factories busy.
Elsewhere in Asia, the situation was mixed. Malaysia and Taiwan reported lower factory activity as their exports slowed. However, countries like Vietnam and Indonesia saw their manufacturing sectors grow. These nations are benefiting as more companies move production there to avoid U.S.-China trade tensions.
Economists say the overall picture for Asia’s manufacturing remains weak. The U.S. market is one of the biggest buyers of Asian products — from electronics and machinery to clothing and steel. Any drop in U.S. demand or rise in tariffs directly affects factory output and jobs in Asia.
As the global trade environment stays uncertain, Asian countries are trying to find new markets and trade partners. Many are also working on regional trade agreements to reduce their dependence on the U.S. economy.
For now, business confidence across Asia remains low. Companies are still waiting to see if the tariff truce between Trump and Xi will last, or if more trade tensions will return.
If demand from the U.S. stays weak and new tariffs are introduced again, experts warn that 2025 could bring another difficult year for Asia’s factory sector.
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