Post by : Naveen Mittal
Asian stock markets climbed to fresh highs this week as investors looked ahead to the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, and traders are waiting for clear guidance on whether more cuts will follow.
For many, the possibility of lower borrowing costs has kept markets buoyant. Stocks across Asia surged, while the US dollar weakened to its lowest level since late July. Investors are also closely watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming comments, along with the “dot plot” projections that signal how many more cuts may come in the future.
The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) touched its highest point in more than four years, gaining around 0.7% on Tuesday. Japan’s Nikkei and Topix indexes also reached fresh record highs, signaling strong investor confidence in the region.
Elsewhere, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index edged up slightly, while China’s CSI300 slipped as concerns over trade tensions and domestic issues weighed on investor sentiment.
European stock futures painted a mixed picture, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures flat, the FTSE up 0.08%, and the DAX only slightly higher. In the US, Nasdaq futures rose 0.14% and S&P 500 futures added 0.08% after both indexes had reached all-time highs in the cash session the previous night.
Shares of chipmaker Nvidia dipped slightly after China accused the company of breaking anti-monopoly laws, adding new heat to the US-China trade dispute.
Meanwhile, US and Chinese officials announced progress on a deal that would shift short-video platform TikTok to American-controlled ownership. The agreement is expected to be confirmed during a call between President Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping later this week.
As expectations for rate cuts grew, the US dollar lost strength, sliding to its weakest level since July 24. Sterling climbed to its highest in more than two months, while the euro also reached its strongest since late July.
The Australian dollar hit a 10-month high, boosted by optimism over global growth and easing trade tensions. Analysts said the Fed’s rate cuts and improved global trade conditions have lifted demand for risk-sensitive currencies like the Aussie.
US Treasury yields remained steady after dropping in the last session. The two-year yield stood at 3.53%, while the benchmark 10-year yield hovered near 4.04%.
In commodities, oil prices continued to climb after reports of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries. Brent crude rose to $67.61 per barrel, while US crude reached $63.47 per barrel.
Gold also surged to a new record high of $3,689 per ounce, benefiting from a weaker dollar and expectations of Fed easing.
Markets have already priced in several cuts, with 127 basis points of reductions expected by mid-2026. Analysts believe the Fed may avoid giving too much away and stick to a cautious tone, even if Powell hints at further cuts down the line.
Tony Sycamore, a market analyst, noted that despite political debates about the Fed’s independence, the expected 25-basis-point cut looks set. Other experts suggested that the chance of a hawkish surprise is lower than the chance of a dovish one, given how many cuts are already expected.
The combination of strong stock markets, a softer dollar, rising gold, and firmer oil prices paints a picture of investor optimism—but also caution. While the Fed’s decision will set the tone for markets in the weeks ahead, geopolitical tensions and trade disputes remain key risks.
For now, Asian markets are celebrating their highest levels in years, with investors betting that a friendlier Fed policy will support growth and investment across the globe.
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