Post by : Monika
Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, is facing political challenges once again. This week, two groups in the European Parliament plan to present motions of no confidence against her.
These actions come just three months after a previous no-confidence vote in July, which she survived comfortably. While the motions are unlikely to remove her from office because a two-thirds majority is required, they reflect growing political tensions and dissatisfaction with her leadership.
A motion of no confidence is a formal vote that asks lawmakers whether a leader should be removed from office. If enough members vote in favor, the leader is forced to resign. In von der Leyen’s case, the motions are largely symbolic but still significant because they indicate unease within the EU Parliament.
The backing of the Parliament is essential for passing laws, approving budgets, and implementing policies, so any sign of instability can affect the functioning of the European Union.
Who Initiated the Motions and Why
The two motions of no confidence are being brought forward by different political factions. The far-right motion comes from Jordan Bardella, the president of France’s National Rally. The left-wing motion is proposed by Manon Aubry from France Unbowed. The far-right group criticizes von der Leyen for what they call “misguided” green energy policies and what they perceive as her failure to manage illegal migration effectively. The left-wing group focuses on the EU’s lack of action regarding the conflict in Gaza.
Both sides, however, agree on some points of criticism. They question von der Leyen’s acceptance of a tariff deal with the United States, calling it unbalanced. They also express concern over the proposed EU-Mercosur trade agreement, arguing that it could threaten European farmers and harm the environment. These shared concerns highlight that her decisions on trade and international relations are under close scrutiny from multiple political directions.
Previous No-Confidence Attempt
Von der Leyen is no stranger to these challenges. In July, mainly far-right lawmakers launched a no-confidence motion against her. Despite the attempt, she survived with a strong majority, demonstrating her continued support among centrist and mainstream parties. That previous vote showed that while she faces opposition, she remains a powerful figure in the European Parliament.
However, the dynamics have changed since the 2024 elections, which increased far-right representation in the Parliament to over 100 lawmakers. Only 72 votes are required to trigger a motion of no confidence, meaning that even smaller factions can now challenge the Commission more easily than in the past.
The left-wing motion also gained some support, including a lawmaker from the centre-left Socialist and Democrats group and several Greens. This development underscores the growing willingness of smaller groups to challenge leadership and use motions that were once rarely employed.
Timing and Process of the Votes
The two motions are scheduled to be formally presented on Monday, with votes expected later in the week on Thursday. After the motions are tabled, von der Leyen will have the opportunity to defend her record. All party group leaders will also be given a chance to speak, highlighting the importance of debate and discussion in the parliamentary process.
Although the outcomes are uncertain, political experts suggest that neither motion is likely to succeed because achieving a two-thirds majority in the European Parliament is very difficult. Nonetheless, the process will serve as a test of von der Leyen’s support and may reveal deeper fractures among parties that usually back the Commission.
Implications of the Motions
While von der Leyen is expected to remain in office, the motions carry important political implications:
Highlighting Growing Opposition: The motions reflect rising dissatisfaction with her leadership among both far-right and left-wing factions. This increased scrutiny can influence public perception and affect her ability to implement policies smoothly.
Exposing Polarization in the EU Parliament: The European Parliament is becoming more politically divided. The presence of stronger far-right and left-wing factions increases the likelihood of contentious debates and challenges to mainstream leaders.
Creating Political Instability: Even unsuccessful motions can disrupt the legislative agenda. Parliament may become preoccupied with internal debates rather than focusing on policy priorities, creating a more unstable environment for decision-making.
Von der Leyen’s Leadership and Defense
As the President of the European Commission, von der Leyen leads the EU’s executive body responsible for proposing legislation, implementing decisions, and managing daily operations. She will need to respond carefully to the criticism, defending her policies on climate change, trade, migration, and international diplomacy.
On green policies, von der Leyen is expected to explain how the EU’s transition to renewable energy and environmental regulations align with long-term economic and climate goals. Regarding migration, she must clarify the measures taken to balance humanitarian responsibilities with security concerns. On trade, her defense may involve emphasizing the benefits of deals like EU-Mercosur while addressing concerns about farmers and environmental protection. The Gaza conflict, a key point raised by left-wing critics, will require her to articulate the EU’s role in humanitarian aid and diplomacy.
Political Context and Challenges
The EU’s political landscape has evolved in recent years. Far-right parties have gained influence across several countries, while left-wing and Green parties have also increased their visibility. This broader political spectrum makes governing more complex, as consensus is harder to achieve. Motions of no confidence, once rare, are now becoming a tool for opposition groups to signal dissatisfaction and influence public debate.
The Commission’s decisions on global trade, environmental policy, and foreign relations are under constant scrutiny. For example, the EU-Mercosur trade agreement, which aims to boost trade between the EU and South American countries, has drawn criticism for potential environmental impacts and threats to local farmers. Similarly, von der Leyen’s engagement with U.S. trade policy has sparked debate about balancing national and European interests.
Potential Outcomes
Ursula von der Leyen faces a challenging week as two motions of no confidence test her leadership. While these motions are unlikely to succeed, they reveal growing political tensions in the European Parliament and highlight criticism from both far-right and left-wing factions. The process will not only allow von der Leyen to defend her record but also serve as a reflection of the broader political dynamics in the EU.
Her ability to manage criticism, maintain support among centrist and mainstream parties, and respond to challenges effectively will shape the European Commission’s agenda in the coming months. These motions underscore that even powerful leaders in the EU must continually demonstrate their effectiveness and political acumen to sustain their leadership positions.
The outcome of these votes will be closely watched by lawmakers, EU citizens, and international observers, as they provide insight into the stability and direction of the European Union. Von der Leyen’s response to these challenges will influence not only her political standing but also the EU’s capacity to address pressing issues such as climate change, trade, migration, and international conflicts.
Ursula von der Leyen European Commission EU Parliament no-confidence vote
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