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US President Donald Trump has made it clear that winning the Nobel Peace Prize is one of his ambitions, but the path may be much more difficult than he hopes. The Norwegian Nobel Committee, which has the sole authority to select the winner, is strictly independent and cannot be influenced by outside pressure, media campaigns, or even the sitting US president.
Since returning to the White House in January 2025, Trump, now 79, has repeatedly stated that he “deserves” the prestigious award. He often points to his claims of ending six wars around the world, portraying himself as a global peacemaker. However, some of the conflicts he cites, like the ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine, remain unresolved, raising doubts about the validity of his claims.
The Nobel Committee Stands Firm
Kristian Berg Harpviken, the secretary of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, emphasized that the committee evaluates each candidate purely on merit. “Of course, we notice that there is a lot of media attention toward certain candidates,” he said, “but that really has no impact on the discussions that are going on inside the committee.”
The Nobel Peace Prize, awarded annually in Oslo, Norway, is one of the most prestigious honors in the world. It is given to individuals or organizations that have made significant contributions to peace, human rights, or conflict resolution. The process is deliberately kept independent from governments or political influence, in order to maintain credibility and honor the original vision of Alfred Nobel, the prize’s founder.
Trump’s Campaign for the Prize
Trump has mentioned that several foreign leaders, including Israel’s Prime Minister and Azerbaijan’s President, have expressed support for his nomination. However, there is a critical timing issue: nominations for the 2025 prize had to be submitted by January 31—just 11 days after Trump returned to the presidency. This would have made it extremely difficult, if not impossible, for anyone to officially nominate him for this year.
Harpviken noted, “To be nominated is not necessarily a great achievement. The real achievement is to become a laureate.” Thousands of people are eligible to nominate candidates for the Nobel Peace Prize, including members of parliament, government ministers, former laureates, and certain university professors. This year, the committee received a longlist of 338 individuals and organizations, which will remain secret for 50 years.
The Evaluation Process
After nominations are submitted, the committee evaluates candidates through a detailed process. The most worthy candidates are shortlisted, and each one is examined by experts who provide in-depth analyses of their contributions to global peace. “When the committee discusses, it’s the knowledge base that frames the discussion, not whatever media report has received the most attention in the last 24 hours,” Harpviken said.
The committee takes careful steps to ensure that no outside influence affects its deliberations. Every year, campaigns and media attention attempt to sway opinions, but the committee structures its meetings and discussions to remain impartial and independent.
Trump’s Outreach and International Reactions
Earlier this year, Trump reportedly mentioned the Nobel Peace Prize during a phone call with Norway’s Finance Minister, who is also a former NATO Secretary General. The conversation, officially about trade tariffs, has fueled speculation about whether Trump was attempting to influence the committee indirectly. Norway confirmed the call took place but did not disclose if the Nobel Prize was discussed.
Historically, the Norwegian Nobel Committee has made decisions that have angered governments, demonstrating its independence. For example, in 2010, it awarded the Peace Prize to Chinese activist Liu Xiaobo, despite warnings from the Norwegian government. This decision caused a diplomatic freeze between Norway and China that lasted for years. Experts note that the committee’s independence is a core principle and unlikely to be compromised by a US president’s ambitions.
Challenges to Trump’s Bid
Several factors make Trump’s chances of winning the Nobel Peace Prize slim. Norway, like much of Europe, places a strong emphasis on multilateralism, cooperation, and diplomacy. Trump’s “America First” policies often prioritize national interests over global collaboration, which is seen as contrary to the ideals that Alfred Nobel envisioned for the prize.
Furthermore, Trump’s admiration for leaders like Vladimir Putin, who has been waging war in Ukraine for three years, has drawn criticism from peace advocates and Nobel historians. In August, a group of Nobel historians outlined multiple reasons why Trump should not receive the award. They argued that awarding the prize to him now could be seen as political favoritism and would damage the credibility of the Nobel Peace Prize.
Halvard Leira, research director at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, echoed these concerns, saying, “This type of pressure usually turns out to be counterproductive. If the committee were to give the prize to Trump now, it would obviously be accused of kowtowing and flouting the independence it claims to uphold.”
The Importance of True Merit
The Nobel Peace Prize is about recognizing substantial and lasting contributions to peace and human welfare. While media attention and political campaigns often highlight certain figures, the committee remains focused on actual accomplishments and long-term impact. Candidates are evaluated on their efforts to reduce conflict, promote diplomacy, uphold human rights, and encourage cooperation between nations.
This year’s committee is likely to follow the same rigorous standards. The winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on October 10, and until then, speculation will continue. However, given the ongoing global conflicts, Trump’s controversial policies, and the independence of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, many experts believe that the chances of him receiving the award are extremely low.
while Donald Trump actively campaigns for the Nobel Peace Prize and enjoys media attention and foreign endorsements, the real decision lies with the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Its independence, rigorous evaluation process, and historical commitment to impartiality make it unlikely that political pressure or media campaigns will influence the 2025 laureate.
Trump’s ambition highlights the prestige of the Nobel Peace Prize and the attention it garners worldwide, but it also underscores the importance of genuine contributions to global peace over personal or political ambition. The announcement in October will reveal whether merit or media attention wins the day.
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