Post by : Naveen Mittal
Crude oil began flowing again from Iraq’s northern Kurdistan region through the pipeline to Turkey for the first time in two and a half years. The disruption had cut off around 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) of exports.
The pipeline was halted in March 2023 following an International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) ruling. The tribunal ordered Turkey to pay Iraq roughly $1.5 billion for unauthorized oil exports that originated in Kurdish territory between 2014 and 2018—exports made without Baghdad’s consent. Iraq initially brought arbitration in 2014, claiming Turkey and Kurdish operators had bypassed its national oil marketing company (SOMO).
Iraq is a major OPEC oil producer, with southern exports already totaling some 3.4 million bpd. The restored north-south flow will add between 180,000–190,000 bpd initially. That volume could climb toward 230,000 bpd according to Iraq’s oil minister. U.S. officials had urged a restart, in part because additional supply could help alleviate high global oil prices.
Under the resumed operation, oil produced in Kurdistan will be delivered to SOMO in Baghdad. An independent trader will handle sales from the Turkish port of Ceyhan, using SOMO’s official pricing. Producers in Kurdistan will be paid $16 per barrel under the agreement.
The pause in exports had strained Kurdistan’s finances: public sector salaries were delayed, and essential services in the region suffered. The restoration of pipeline flow is a significant relief for the regional government, which has long been under economic pressure.
Eight major oil firms operating in the Kurdish region—representing over 90% of output—have agreed to the new export structure with Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). Meanwhile, a second arbitration case dealing with exports post-2018 is still pending.
The pipeline’s revival alters energy flows in the region. For Iraq, it means increased revenues and a chance to reduce its dependence on southern routes. For Turkey, it strengthens its role as a transit hub in regional energy. On the global stage, more northern Iraqi oil entering the market may bring modest relief in crude prices.
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